Unbroken Bonds Rare Holo Pull Rate — 28.00% per pack (1 in 4)
28.00% of Unbroken Bonds booster packs contain a Rare Holo card — roughly 1 in 4 packs. Unbroken Bonds ships 22 Rare Holo cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Rare Holo is 0.0127 (≈1 in 79). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Unbroken Bonds Rare Holo pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 28.00% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 22 Rare Holo cards = 1 in 79. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Rare Holo cards in Unbroken Bonds
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Snorlax #158 | $57.33 | 1 in 79 |
| 2 | Greninja #117 | $28.29 | 1 in 79 |
| 3 | Mew #76 | $13.82 | 1 in 79 |
| 4 | Stakataka #106 | $5.65 | 1 in 79 |
| 5 | Arcanine #22 | $4.44 | 1 in 79 |
| 6 | Spiritomb #112 | $2.90 | 1 in 79 |
| 7 | Slowbro #43 | $2.82 | 1 in 79 |
| 8 | Lucario #126 | $1.93 | 1 in 79 |
| 9 | Porygon-Z #157 | $1.56 | 1 in 79 |
| 10 | Togekiss #138 | $1.41 | 1 in 79 |
| 11 | Marshadow #81 | $1.11 | 1 in 79 |
| 12 | Kartana #19 | $1.08 | 1 in 79 |
| 13 | Vileplume #8 | $0.80 | 1 in 79 |
| 14 | Volcanion #25 | $0.76 | 1 in 79 |
| 15 | Crobat #66 | $0.66 | 1 in 79 |
| 16 | Golem #89 | $0.66 | 1 in 79 |
| 17 | Red's Challenge #184 | $0.66 | 1 in 79 |
| 18 | Kyurem #50 | $0.62 | 1 in 79 |
| 19 | Melmetal #129 | $0.52 | 1 in 79 |
| 20 | Landorus #103 | $0.45 | 1 in 79 |
| 21 | Malamar #119 | $0.44 | 1 in 79 |
| 22 | Vikavolt #59 | $0.34 | 1 in 79 |
How the 28.00% rate is computed
Every Unbroken Bonds booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 6 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Rare Holo, and the era's other chase rarities. The Rare Holo tier captures 28.00% of those rare-slot draws (= 28.00 packs out of every 100). Within the Rare Holo tier, all 22 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 28.00% ÷ 22 = 0.0127 = 1 in 79.
This is the same math PackRip's live Unbroken Bonds simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 28.00% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Rare Holo
Rare Holo pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.280000. The expected number of packs until your first Rare Holo hit is 4; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 10 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Rare Holo with probability 100.0% — so the average box yields just over 10.1 Rare Holo pulls.
Related on PackRip
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- Unbroken Bonds per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Unbroken Bonds cards