Mega Evolution Full Art Pull Rate — 8.56% per pack (1 in 12)

Lillie's Determination — Mega Evolution

8.56% of Mega Evolution booster packs contain a Full Art card — roughly 1 in 12 packs. Mega Evolution ships 22 Full Art cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Full Art is 0.0039 (≈1 in 257). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.

Mega Evolution Full Art pull-rate methodology

How PackRip computes this page
FormulaTier odds = 8.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 22 Full Art cards = 1 in 257.
AssumptionsOne independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split.
Data sourceSet checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener.
Update cadenceRegenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change.
LimitationsThis is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences.

Full Art cards in Mega Evolution

#CardTCGplayer marketPer-card odds
1Lillie's Determination #169$20.771 in 257
2Mega Lucario ex #160$11.521 in 257
3Mega Venusaur ex #155$11.161 in 257
4Buddy-Buddy Poffin #167$5.591 in 257
5Mega Gardevoir ex #159$5.331 in 257
6Mega Kangaskhan ex #164$5.281 in 257
7Rare Candy #175$5.011 in 257
8Mega Absol ex #161$4.641 in 257
9Mega Latias ex #163$4.541 in 257
10Night Stretcher #173$4.221 in 257
11Wally's Compassion #176$2.851 in 257
12Mega Mawile ex #162$2.621 in 257
13Mega Manectric ex #158$2.351 in 257
14Air Balloon #166$2.341 in 257
15Fighting Gong #168$2.151 in 257
16Acerola's Mischief #165$2.031 in 257
17Premium Power Pro #174$1.941 in 257
18Mega Abomasnow ex #157$1.901 in 257
19Mega Camerupt ex #156$1.511 in 257
20Mystery Garden #172$1.011 in 257
21Lt. Surge's Bargain #170$0.991 in 257
22Mega Signal #171$0.991 in 257

How the 8.56% rate is computed

Every Mega Evolution booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 6 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Full Art, and the era's other chase rarities. The Full Art tier captures 8.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 8.56 packs out of every 100). Within the Full Art tier, all 22 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 8.56% ÷ 22 = 0.0039 = 1 in 257.

This is the same math PackRip's live Mega Evolution simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 8.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.

Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Full Art

Full Art pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.085600. The expected number of packs until your first Full Art hit is 12; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 34 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Full Art with probability 96.0% — so the average box yields just over 3.1 Full Art pulls.

Related on PackRip

Other rarity tiers in this set