Shining Fates Pokémon V Pull Rate — 16.70% per pack (1 in 6)
16.70% of Shining Fates booster packs contain a Pokémon V card — roughly 1 in 6 packs. Shining Fates ships 17 Pokémon V cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Pokémon V is 0.0098 (≈1 in 102). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Shining Fates Pokémon V pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 16.70% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 17 Pokémon V cards = 1 in 102. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Pokémon V cards in Shining Fates
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ditto V #SV118 | $9.65 | 1 in 102 |
| 2 | Lapras V #SV110 | $4.25 | 1 in 102 |
| 3 | Ditto V #50 | $1.78 | 1 in 102 |
| 4 | Toxtricity V #SV112 | $1.76 | 1 in 102 |
| 5 | Grimmsnarl V #SV116 | $1.59 | 1 in 102 |
| 6 | Centiskorch V #SV108 | $1.46 | 1 in 102 |
| 7 | Rillaboom V #SV105 | $1.40 | 1 in 102 |
| 8 | Falinks V #SV115 | $1.37 | 1 in 102 |
| 9 | Indeedee V #SV114 | $1.23 | 1 in 102 |
| 10 | Dubwool V #SV120 | $1.07 | 1 in 102 |
| 11 | Morpeko V #37 | $0.95 | 1 in 102 |
| 12 | Dhelmise V #9 | $0.82 | 1 in 102 |
| 13 | Crobat V #44 | $0.80 | 1 in 102 |
| 14 | Cinderace V #18 | $0.75 | 1 in 102 |
| 15 | Greedent V #53 | $0.74 | 1 in 102 |
| 16 | Indeedee V #39 | $0.68 | 1 in 102 |
| 17 | Cramorant V #54 | $0.68 | 1 in 102 |
How the 16.70% rate is computed
Every Shining Fates booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 8 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Pokémon V, and the era's other chase rarities. The Pokémon V tier captures 16.70% of those rare-slot draws (= 16.70 packs out of every 100). Within the Pokémon V tier, all 17 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 16.70% ÷ 17 = 0.0098 = 1 in 102.
This is the same math PackRip's live Shining Fates simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 16.70% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Pokémon V
Pokémon V pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.167000. The expected number of packs until your first Pokémon V hit is 6; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 17 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Pokémon V with probability 99.9% — so the average box yields just over 6.0 Pokémon V pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Shining Fates packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
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- Shining Fates per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Shining Fates cards
- Every Pokémon V card across all 140 booster sets