What is the Special Illustration Rare pull rate in Prismatic Evolutions?

2.80% per booster pack — roughly 1 in 36 Prismatic Evolutions packs contains a Special Illustration Rare card. Prismatic Evolutions ships 32 Special Illustration Rare cards in its pool, so per-card odds are ≈1 in 1,143. The rate is PackRip's own published constant for that tier, identical in the simulator and in this dataset. It is not derived from real print-run data, which has never been published.

How many Prismatic Evolutions packs to pull a Special Illustration Rare?

On average 36 packs to hit your first Special Illustration Rare — that's the expected value of a geometric distribution with parameter p=0.028000. At 95% confidence you'll have one within 106 packs. A sealed 36-pack booster box yields a Special Illustration Rare with probability 64.0%.

Which Special Illustration Rare cards are in Prismatic Evolutions?

32 Special Illustration Rare cards: Umbreon ex, Sylveon ex, Leafeon ex, Espeon ex, Vaporeon ex, plus 27 more. The full list with TCGplayer market prices is in the table on this page. The most valuable by market price is Umbreon ex at $1496.27.

Prismatic Evolutions Special Illustration Rare Pull Rate — 2.80% per pack (1 in 36)

Umbreon ex — Prismatic Evolutions

2.80% of Prismatic Evolutions booster packs contain a Special Illustration Rare card — roughly 1 in 36 packs. Prismatic Evolutions ships 32 Special Illustration Rare cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Special Illustration Rare is 0.00087 (≈1 in 1,143). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.

Prismatic Evolutions Special Illustration Rare pull-rate methodology

How PackRip computes this page
Formula	Tier odds = 2.80% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 32 Special Illustration Rare cards = 1 in 1,143.
Assumptions	One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split.
Data source	Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from `rareSlotRates()`, mirrored from the live pack opener.
Update cadence	Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change.
Limitations	This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences.

Special Illustration Rare cards in Prismatic Evolutions

#	Card	TCGplayer market	Per-card odds
1	Umbreon ex #161	$1496.27	1 in 1,143
2	Sylveon ex #156	$551.90	1 in 1,143
3	Leafeon ex #144	$340.37	1 in 1,143
4	Espeon ex #155	$309.88	1 in 1,143
5	Vaporeon ex #149	$303.45	1 in 1,143
6	Glaceon ex #150	$284.05	1 in 1,143
7	Flareon ex #146	$227.94	1 in 1,143
8	Jolteon ex #153	$203.08	1 in 1,143
9	Eevee ex #167	$189.45	1 in 1,143
10	Roaring Moon ex #162	$177.77	1 in 1,143
11	Dragapult ex #165	$117.88	1 in 1,143
12	Ceruledge ex #147	$102.74	1 in 1,143
13	Raging Bolt ex #166	$69.20	1 in 1,143
14	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex #168	$67.11	1 in 1,143
15	Iron Valiant ex #157	$53.31	1 in 1,143
16	Gholdengo ex #164	$51.87	1 in 1,143
17	Palafin ex #151	$45.55	1 in 1,143
18	Iron Crown ex #158	$38.45	1 in 1,143
19	Crispin #171	$36.18	1 in 1,143
20	Terapagos ex #169	$34.32	1 in 1,143
21	Iron Hands ex #154	$33.23	1 in 1,143
22	Pecharunt ex #163	$30.43	1 in 1,143
23	Lacey #175	$28.22	1 in 1,143
24	Sandy Shocks ex #159	$26.82	1 in 1,143
25	Janine's Secret Art #173	$26.27	1 in 1,143
26	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex #145	$22.51	1 in 1,143
27	Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex #148	$19.55	1 in 1,143
28	Kieran #174	$19.51	1 in 1,143
29	Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex #152	$17.07	1 in 1,143
30	Drayton #172	$15.69	1 in 1,143
31	Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex #160	$15.22	1 in 1,143
32	Amarys #170	$14.70	1 in 1,143

How the 2.80% rate is computed

Every Prismatic Evolutions booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 6 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Special Illustration Rare, and the era's other chase rarities. The Special Illustration Rare tier captures 2.80% of those rare-slot draws (= 2.80 packs out of every 100). Within the Special Illustration Rare tier, all 32 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 2.80% ÷ 32 = 0.00087 = 1 in 1,143.

This is the same math PackRip's live Prismatic Evolutions simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 2.80% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.

Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Special Illustration Rare

Special Illustration Rare pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.028000. The expected number of packs until your first Special Illustration Rare hit is 36; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 106 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Special Illustration Rare with probability 64.0% — so the average box yields just over 1.0 Special Illustration Rare pulls.