Temporal Forces Illustration Rare Pull Rate — 5.56% per pack (1 in 18)

5.56% of Temporal Forces booster packs contain a Illustration Rare card — roughly 1 in 18 packs. Temporal Forces ships 22 Illustration Rare cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Illustration Rare is 0.0025 (≈1 in 396). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Temporal Forces Illustration Rare pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 5.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 22 Illustration Rare cards = 1 in 396. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Illustration Rare cards in Temporal Forces
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gastly #177 | $96.77 | 1 in 396 |
| 2 | Sawsbuck #166 | $54.82 | 1 in 396 |
| 3 | Deerling #165 | $42.34 | 1 in 396 |
| 4 | Cinccino #183 | $39.17 | 1 in 396 |
| 5 | Litten #167 | $38.29 | 1 in 396 |
| 6 | Metagross #178 | $34.23 | 1 in 396 |
| 7 | Lickitung #180 | $30.07 | 1 in 396 |
| 8 | Arbok #176 | $28.76 | 1 in 396 |
| 9 | Drampa #184 | $27.33 | 1 in 396 |
| 10 | Minccino #182 | $24.43 | 1 in 396 |
| 11 | Grotle #164 | $19.42 | 1 in 396 |
| 12 | Snom #168 | $18.39 | 1 in 396 |
| 13 | Reuniclus #171 | $18.23 | 1 in 396 |
| 14 | Chatot #181 | $12.63 | 1 in 396 |
| 15 | Excadrill #174 | $12.03 | 1 in 396 |
| 16 | Shiftry #163 | $11.76 | 1 in 396 |
| 17 | Mudsdale #175 | $11.13 | 1 in 396 |
| 18 | Relicanth #173 | $10.98 | 1 in 396 |
| 19 | Charjabug #169 | $10.33 | 1 in 396 |
| 20 | Bronzor #170 | $9.58 | 1 in 396 |
| 21 | Cutiefly #172 | $9.51 | 1 in 396 |
| 22 | Meltan #179 | $6.97 | 1 in 396 |
How the 5.56% rate is computed
Every Temporal Forces booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 7 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Illustration Rare, and the era's other chase rarities. The Illustration Rare tier captures 5.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 5.56 packs out of every 100). Within the Illustration Rare tier, all 22 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 5.56% ÷ 22 = 0.0025 = 1 in 396.
This is the same math PackRip's live Temporal Forces simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 5.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Illustration Rare
Illustration Rare pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.055600. The expected number of packs until your first Illustration Rare hit is 18; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Illustration Rare with probability 87.2% — so the average box yields just over 2.0 Illustration Rare pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Temporal Forces packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
- Temporal Forces binder completion calculator
- Temporal Forces per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Temporal Forces cards
- Every Illustration Rare card across all 140 booster sets