Paldea Evolved Illustration Rare Pull Rate — 5.56% per pack (1 in 18)
5.56% of Paldea Evolved booster packs contain a Illustration Rare card — roughly 1 in 18 packs. Paldea Evolved ships 36 Illustration Rare cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Illustration Rare is 0.0015 (≈1 in 647). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Paldea Evolved Illustration Rare pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 5.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 36 Illustration Rare cards = 1 in 647. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Illustration Rare cards in Paldea Evolved
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magikarp #203 | $403.55 | 1 in 647 |
| 2 | Raichu #211 | $116.91 | 1 in 647 |
| 3 | Maushold #226 | $107.81 | 1 in 647 |
| 4 | Tyranitar #222 | $82.70 | 1 in 647 |
| 5 | Marill #204 | $61.82 | 1 in 647 |
| 6 | Sprigatito #196 | $58.25 | 1 in 647 |
| 7 | Fuecoco #201 | $56.35 | 1 in 647 |
| 8 | Mismagius #212 | $45.07 | 1 in 647 |
| 9 | Tinkatuff #217 | $38.63 | 1 in 647 |
| 10 | Baxcalibur #210 | $36.32 | 1 in 647 |
| 11 | Tinkatink #216 | $34.90 | 1 in 647 |
| 12 | Heracross #194 | $33.04 | 1 in 647 |
| 13 | Sudowoodo #219 | $31.53 | 1 in 647 |
| 14 | Frigibax #208 | $23.29 | 1 in 647 |
| 15 | Crocalor #202 | $21.79 | 1 in 647 |
| 16 | Eiscue #205 | $21.77 | 1 in 647 |
| 17 | Floragato #197 | $21.62 | 1 in 647 |
| 18 | Fletchinder #199 | $20.58 | 1 in 647 |
| 19 | Quaxly #206 | $20.01 | 1 in 647 |
| 20 | Arctibax #209 | $18.65 | 1 in 647 |
| 21 | Paldean Tauros #218 | $17.66 | 1 in 647 |
| 22 | Pyroar #200 | $17.37 | 1 in 647 |
| 23 | Farigiraf #228 | $15.26 | 1 in 647 |
| 24 | Paldean Wooper #221 | $13.67 | 1 in 647 |
| 25 | Tropius #195 | $13.44 | 1 in 647 |
| 26 | Gothorita #213 | $13.17 | 1 in 647 |
| 27 | Rookidee #225 | $11.52 | 1 in 647 |
| 28 | Dudunsparce #229 | $11.31 | 1 in 647 |
| 29 | Flamigo #227 | $10.65 | 1 in 647 |
| 30 | Sandygast #214 | $10.36 | 1 in 647 |
| 31 | Bramblin #198 | $10.22 | 1 in 647 |
| 32 | Quaxwell #207 | $9.28 | 1 in 647 |
| 33 | Grafaiai #223 | $7.85 | 1 in 647 |
| 34 | Nacli #220 | $7.51 | 1 in 647 |
| 35 | Orthworm #224 | $7.24 | 1 in 647 |
| 36 | Rabsca #215 | $6.03 | 1 in 647 |
How the 5.56% rate is computed
Every Paldea Evolved booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 6 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Illustration Rare, and the era's other chase rarities. The Illustration Rare tier captures 5.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 5.56 packs out of every 100). Within the Illustration Rare tier, all 36 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 5.56% ÷ 36 = 0.0015 = 1 in 647.
This is the same math PackRip's live Paldea Evolved simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 5.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Illustration Rare
Illustration Rare pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.055600. The expected number of packs until your first Illustration Rare hit is 18; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Illustration Rare with probability 87.2% — so the average box yields just over 2.0 Illustration Rare pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Paldea Evolved packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
- Paldea Evolved binder completion calculator
- Paldea Evolved per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Paldea Evolved cards
- Every Illustration Rare card across all 140 booster sets