Neo Destiny Rare Holo Pull Rate — 33.00% per pack (1 in 3)
33.00% of Neo Destiny booster packs contain a Rare Holo card — roughly 1 in 3 packs. Neo Destiny ships 15 Rare Holo cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Rare Holo is 0.0220 (≈1 in 45). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.
Neo Destiny Rare Holo pull-rate methodology
| Formula | Tier odds = 33.00% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 15 Rare Holo cards = 1 in 45. |
|---|---|
| Assumptions | One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split. |
| Data source | Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from rareSlotRates(), mirrored from the live pack opener. |
| Update cadence | Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change. |
| Limitations | This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences. |
Rare Holo cards in Neo Destiny
| # | Card | TCGplayer market | Per-card odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dark Gengar #6 | $1101.50 | 1 in 45 |
| 2 | Dark Espeon #4 | $649.99 | 1 in 45 |
| 3 | Light Arcanine #12 | $405.00 | 1 in 45 |
| 4 | Light Dragonite #14 | $399.99 | 1 in 45 |
| 5 | Dark Houndoom #7 | $299.99 | 1 in 45 |
| 6 | Dark Tyranitar #11 | $295.28 | 1 in 45 |
| 7 | Dark Scizor #9 | $190.69 | 1 in 45 |
| 8 | Dark Typhlosion #10 | $184.46 | 1 in 45 |
| 9 | Dark Feraligatr #5 | $166.12 | 1 in 45 |
| 10 | Dark Ampharos #1 | $161.37 | 1 in 45 |
| 11 | Dark Crobat #2 | $158.64 | 1 in 45 |
| 12 | Dark Porygon2 #8 | $93.22 | 1 in 45 |
| 13 | Light Togetic #15 | $75.50 | 1 in 45 |
| 14 | Dark Donphan #3 | $55.66 | 1 in 45 |
| 15 | Light Azumarill #13 | $34.99 | 1 in 45 |
How the 33.00% rate is computed
Every Neo Destiny booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 3 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Rare Holo, and the era's other chase rarities. The Rare Holo tier captures 33.00% of those rare-slot draws (= 33.00 packs out of every 100). Within the Rare Holo tier, all 15 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 33.00% ÷ 15 = 0.0220 = 1 in 45.
This is the same math PackRip's live Neo Destiny simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 33.00% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.
Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Rare Holo
Rare Holo pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.330000. The expected number of packs until your first Rare Holo hit is 4; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 8 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Rare Holo with probability 100.0% — so the average box yields just over 11.9 Rare Holo pulls.
Related on PackRip
- Open Neo Destiny packs free — same pull rates, live RNG
- Neo Destiny binder completion calculator
- Neo Destiny per-pack expected value
- Top 25 most valuable Neo Destiny cards