What is the Illustration Rare pull rate in Phantasmal Flames?

5.56% per booster pack — roughly 1 in 18 Phantasmal Flames packs contains a Illustration Rare card. Phantasmal Flames ships 13 Illustration Rare cards in its pool, so per-card odds are ≈1 in 234. The rate is PackRip's own published constant for that tier, identical in the simulator and in this dataset. It is not derived from real print-run data, which has never been published.

How many Phantasmal Flames packs to pull a Illustration Rare?

On average 18 packs to hit your first Illustration Rare — that's the expected value of a geometric distribution with parameter p=0.055600. At 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. A sealed 36-pack booster box yields a Illustration Rare with probability 87.2%.

Which Illustration Rare cards are in Phantasmal Flames?

13 Illustration Rare cards: Meowth, Piplup, Wigglytuff, Paldean Wooper, Flygon, plus 8 more. The full list with TCGplayer market prices is in the table on this page. The most valuable by market price is Meowth at $25.01.

Phantasmal Flames Illustration Rare Pull Rate — 5.56% per pack (1 in 18)

Meowth — Phantasmal Flames

5.56% of Phantasmal Flames booster packs contain a Illustration Rare card — roughly 1 in 18 packs. Phantasmal Flames ships 13 Illustration Rare cards in the pool, so the chance of pulling any specific Illustration Rare is 0.0043 (≈1 in 234). These percentages come from PackRip's own rate table (the same constants the simulator runs on) — they are a model of the product, not a measurement of it. The Pokemon Company has never published pull rates.

Phantasmal Flames Illustration Rare pull-rate methodology

How PackRip computes this page
Formula	Tier odds = 5.56% per pack; per-card odds = tier odds ÷ 13 Illustration Rare cards = 1 in 234.
Assumptions	One independent rare-slot roll per pack; uniform selection within the tier; no pity timers, box mapping, short-print correction, or edition/condition split.
Data source	Set checklist and rarity labels from the bundled Pokemon TCG API catalog; tier rates from `rareSlotRates()`, mirrored from the live pack opener.
Update cadence	Regenerated by prerender whenever set metadata, catalog data, or pull-rate constants change.
Limitations	This is a theoretical per-pack rate. Real sealed product can show print-run variance, collation quirks, and market-specific edition differences.

Illustration Rare cards in Phantasmal Flames

#	Card	TCGplayer market	Per-card odds
1	Meowth #106	$25.01	1 in 234
2	Piplup #98	$17.56	1 in 234
3	Wigglytuff #105	$7.40	1 in 234
4	Paldean Wooper #102	$5.24	1 in 234
5	Flygon #101	$5.12	1 in 234
6	Dewgong #97	$4.70	1 in 234
7	Zacian #100	$4.00	1 in 234
8	Yamper #99	$3.41	1 in 234
9	Togedemaru #104	$2.52	1 in 234
10	Ambipom #107	$2.41	1 in 234
11	Ludicolo #95	$2.35	1 in 234
12	Nymble #96	$1.89	1 in 234
13	Toxtricity #103	$1.87	1 in 234

How the 5.56% rate is computed

Every Phantasmal Flames booster pack rolls one rare-slot card (plus uncommons, commons, and energy in fixed slots). The rare slot is itself a weighted random draw across 6 tiers — Rare, Holo Rare, Illustration Rare, and the era's other chase rarities. The Illustration Rare tier captures 5.56% of those rare-slot draws (= 5.56 packs out of every 100). Within the Illustration Rare tier, all 13 cards share the slot uniformly, so per-card odds are 5.56% ÷ 13 = 0.0043 = 1 in 234.

This is the same math PackRip's live Phantasmal Flames simulator uses to roll packs — open as many as you want for free, watch the empirical hit rate converge to the theoretical 5.56% over a large enough sample. Source code lives in src/utils/packGenerator.ts and the per-rarity drift is build-time-asserted against the published rates so the simulator and this landing page can never disagree.

Cumulative probability — how many packs to hit Illustration Rare

Illustration Rare pulls follow a geometric distribution with per-pack rate 0.055600. The expected number of packs until your first Illustration Rare hit is 18; at 95% confidence you'll have one within 53 packs. Most experienced openers crack a sealed booster box (36 packs) and hit Illustration Rare with probability 87.2% — so the average box yields just over 2.0 Illustration Rare pulls.